Workers’ Comp Executive
Wednesday, August 15, 2012
Flash Report
WCIRB To Recommend 12.6% Average Increase In Pure Premium Rates
The Workers’ Compensation Insurance Rating Bureau’s Governing Committee just completed its deliberations and agreed to seek a 12.6% increase in the advisory pure premium rates for Jan. 1, 2013 new and renewal policies. The decision represents a 10.3% increase from the filing the Bureau made in April for July 1 policies, and an 11.2% increase over what Insurance Commissioner Dave Jones approved three months ago.
The Bureau’s filing will be for an average rate of $2.68 per $100 of payroll, compared to an industry average filed rate of $2.38. Following the earlier hikes, employers with January 1 renewals will see rates that on average are 18% higher.
Driving the deterioration are a number of the usual culprits, such as increased loss development of 3 points and a more pessimistic wage forecast that added another half a point of deterioration. But the increase also represents changes in methodologies to account for the growing medical costs from older claims and a revision to the trending projections for indemnity and medical loss trends. All toldthe older claims are boosting the indication by 2 points, while the trending changes add another 4 points.
The filing does not include any impact from the potential workers’ comp reforms that are currently under discussion. The Bureau will begin pricing the primary components of the reform package, including the changes in benefit levels, potential elimination of the future earning capacity modifier, as well as cuts to other cost driver. The Bureau will also revisit the filing early next month when it reviews another quarter of experience. The sense at the meeting was that the June quarter will likely push the indication up, but there was no consensus on the likely amount. “I’m not expecting a 5 point swing either way,” notes WCIRB chief actuary Dave Bellusci.
A formal filing is planned for the week of August 20.